Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 53.34%. A win for Incheon United had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.88%) and 1-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Incheon United win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
0.13) 
-0.05) 
