Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 63.79%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 17.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 3-1 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.02) 
