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J1 League | Gameweek 24
Aug 19, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Nissan Stadium

Yokohama
2 - 1
FC Tokyo

Nagato (12'), Watanabe (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Oliveira (23')
Oliveira (41'), Kimura (82')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Yokohama F Marinos and FC Tokyo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yokohama 2-1 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, August 12 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, August 12 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 55.55%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 22.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 1-0 (7.97%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Yokohama F Marinos in this match.

Result
Yokohama F MarinosDrawFC Tokyo
55.55% (-0.829 -0.83) 21.54% (0.218 0.22) 22.9% (0.61 0.61)
Both teams to score 60.98% (0.07 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.51% (-0.281 -0.28)37.48% (0.278 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.29% (-0.303 -0.3)59.71% (0.3 0.3)
Yokohama F Marinos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.52% (-0.343 -0.34)13.47% (0.342 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.52% (-0.692 -0.69)40.48% (0.69 0.69)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.47% (0.358 0.36)29.53% (-0.36 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.45% (0.437 0.44)65.54% (-0.44 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Yokohama F Marinos 55.55%
    FC Tokyo 22.9%
    Draw 21.54%
Yokohama F MarinosDrawFC Tokyo
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.99% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-0 @ 7.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.51% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-0 @ 5.34% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-2 @ 3.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.26% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.68% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.99% (-0.035 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.31% (-0.053 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.07% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 55.55%
1-1 @ 9.73% (0.105 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.048 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.98% (0.054 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.54%
1-2 @ 5.93% (0.122 0.12)
0-1 @ 4.85% (0.112 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.96% (0.098 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.073 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 22.9%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Yokohama 2-1 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, August 12 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 0-0 Yokohama
Sunday, August 6 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 3-5 Man City
Sunday, July 23 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Yokohama 6-4 Celtic
Wednesday, July 19 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Yokohama 0-1 Kawasaki
Saturday, July 15 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-2 Yokohama
Saturday, July 8 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, August 12 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 FC Tokyo
Sunday, August 6 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-3 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, July 16 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 0-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, July 8 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-0 Reysol
Saturday, July 1 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, June 24 at 11am in J1 League


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