Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 54.24%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 2-1 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
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