Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 61.34%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 18.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 1-0 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 1-2 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Yokohama F Marinos in this match.