SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chad win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Mauritius had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Mauritius win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chad in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chad | Draw | Mauritius |
39.92% ( -0.17) | 26.38% ( 0.05) | 33.7% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 52.62% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.93% ( -0.18) | 52.07% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.2% ( -0.16) | 73.79% ( 0.16) |
| Chad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.38% ( -0.17) | 25.62% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.49% ( -0.24) | 60.5% ( 0.24) |
| Mauritius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.74% ( -0.01) | 29.25% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.79% ( -0.01) | 65.21% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chad | Draw | Mauritius |
| 1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 39.92% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.7% |
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