SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lesotho win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Mauritius had a probability of 23.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lesotho win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Mauritius win it was 1-0 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lesotho would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mauritius | Draw | Lesotho |
23.57% ( -0.35) | 25.51% ( -0.09) | 50.92% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 48.86% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.11% ( 0.04) | 53.89% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.65% ( 0.03) | 75.35% ( -0.03) |
| Mauritius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.99% ( -0.3) | 38% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.23% ( -0.29) | 74.77% ( 0.3) |
| Lesotho Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.81% ( 0.2) | 21.19% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.93% ( 0.31) | 54.07% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mauritius | Draw | Lesotho |
| 1-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.6% Total : 23.57% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.1)1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.01% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 4.85% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 50.91% |
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