SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Algeria | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Kenya | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritius win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mauritius win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Kenya win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mauritius in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mauritius | Draw | Kenya |
42.02% ( 13.86) | 26.49% ( 1.61) | 31.49% ( -15.47) |
| Both teams to score 51.58% ( -3.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.9% ( -5.14) | 53.09% ( 5.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.32% ( -4.55) | 74.67% ( 4.54) |
| Mauritius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.01% ( 6) | 24.98% ( -6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.36% ( 7.65) | 59.64% ( -7.65) |
| Kenya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.76% ( -10.77) | 31.24% ( 10.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.41% ( -14.65) | 67.58% ( 14.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mauritius | Draw | Kenya |
| 1-0 @ 10.82% ( 3.39) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 1.83)2-0 @ 7.51% ( 3.15)3-1 @ 4.04% ( 1.34)3-0 @ 3.47% ( 1.77)3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.61)4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.71)Other @ 2.49% Total : 42.01% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.81) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 1.46)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.4)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.22)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.98) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( -2.02)0-2 @ 5.28% ( -2.7)1-3 @ 2.84% ( -2.1)0-3 @ 2.05% ( -2.17)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.93)Other @ 2.94% Total : 31.49% |
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