Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritius win with a probability of 74.13%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Chad had a probability of 9.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mauritius win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.11%) and 3-0 (10.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Chad win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.