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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Preliminary Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
 
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Mauritius
1 - 2
Chad

FT(HT: 1-0)
Hiver (74'), Hassan (90')
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Preliminary Round clash between Mauritius and Chad.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chad 1-0 Mauritius
Friday, March 22 at 6pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Chad 1-0 Mauritius
Friday, March 22 at 6pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritius win with a probability of 74.13%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Chad had a probability of 9.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mauritius win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.11%) and 3-0 (10.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Chad win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
MauritiusDrawChad
74.13% (0.087000000000003 0.09) 16.46% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 9.42% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 45.69% (0.255 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.77% (0.353 0.35)41.24% (-0.351 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.37% (0.357 0.36)63.63% (-0.356 -0.36)
Mauritius Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.42% (0.11200000000001 0.11)9.59% (-0.1099 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.94% (0.258 0.26)32.07% (-0.258 -0.26)
Chad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.54% (0.221 0.22)49.46% (-0.22 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.72% (0.153 0.15)84.29% (-0.152 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Mauritius 74.1%
    Chad 9.42%
    Draw 16.46%
MauritiusDrawChad
2-0 @ 13.03% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-0 @ 11.11% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-0 @ 10.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 7.17% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 5.97% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.2% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.8% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.97% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.024 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.1% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 74.1%
1-1 @ 7.83% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.74% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.23% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 16.46%
0-1 @ 3.34% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 2.76% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 1.18% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 9.42%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Chad 1-0 Mauritius
Friday, March 22 at 6pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mauritius 0-0 Angola
Tuesday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Cameroon 3-0 Mauritius
Friday, November 17 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Mauritius 0-1 Mozambique
Wednesday, July 12 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Angola 0-1 Mauritius
Monday, July 10 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Mauritius 0-2 Lesotho
Friday, July 7 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Chad 1-0 Mauritius
Friday, March 22 at 6pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Chad 0-3 Madagascar
Monday, November 20 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Mali 3-1 Chad
Friday, November 17 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Chad 0-1 Sudan
Tuesday, October 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies


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