Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 67.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Mauritius had a probability of 10.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.09%) and 0-3 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Mauritius win it was 1-0 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mozambique in this match.
0.01) 
-0.27) 
