SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 67.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Mauritius had a probability of 10.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.09%) and 0-3 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Mauritius win it was 1-0 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mozambique in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mauritius | Draw | Mozambique |
10.98% ( 0.01) | 21.33% ( 0.25) | 67.69% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 36.78% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.21% ( -0.84) | 56.78% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.27% ( -0.68) | 77.72% ( 0.68) |
| Mauritius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.8% ( -0.49) | 56.2% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.41% ( -0.28) | 88.58% ( 0.28) |
| Mozambique Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.97% ( -0.37) | 16.03% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.63% ( -0.69) | 45.37% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mauritius | Draw | Mozambique |
| 1-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 1.5% ( 0)Other @ 1.55% Total : 10.98% | 1-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.33% | 0-1 @ 16.49% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 15.09% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 9.21% ( -0.06)1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 5.31% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 4.22% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.08)0-5 @ 1.54% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.16% Total : 67.68% |
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