SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 42.63%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 27.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.7%) and 1-2 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Lesotho win it was 1-0 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gabon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lesotho | Draw | Gabon |
27.98% ( -1.18) | 29.39% ( -0.05) | 42.63% ( 1.22) |
| Both teams to score 41.93% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.5% ( -0.25) | 64.5% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.46% ( -0.18) | 83.54% ( 0.18) |
| Lesotho Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.95% ( -1.11) | 40.05% ( 1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.3% ( -1.03) | 76.7% ( 1.03) |
| Gabon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.95% ( 0.57) | 30.05% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.82% ( 0.68) | 66.18% ( -0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lesotho | Draw | Gabon |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.38% Total : 27.98% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.39% | 0-1 @ 14.47% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 8.7% ( 0.35)1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.35% Total : 42.63% |
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