SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 67.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 9.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.39%) and 3-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.4%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gabon | Draw | Lesotho |
67.49% ( 1.62) | 22.63% ( -0.97) | 9.88% ( -0.65) |
| Both teams to score 30.91% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.96% ( 1.52) | 63.04% ( -1.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.51% ( 1.09) | 82.49% ( -1.09) |
| Gabon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.65% ( 1.19) | 18.35% ( -1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.54% ( 1.98) | 49.46% ( -1.98) |
| Lesotho Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 37.86% ( -0.38) | 62.14% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.29% ( -0.18) | 91.7% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gabon | Draw | Lesotho |
| 1-0 @ 19.33% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 16.39% ( 0.31)3-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.51)2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.19)4-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.35)4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.15)5-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.12% Total : 67.49% | 0-0 @ 11.4% ( -0.66) 1-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.3)2-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.63% | 0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.98% Total : 9.88% |
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