SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Congo | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Angola | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 | Cameroon | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Congo had a probability of 18.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Congo win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gabon | Draw | Congo |
58.1% ( -0.08) | 23.75% ( 0.04) | 18.14% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.43% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.8% ( -0.11) | 53.19% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.24% ( -0.09) | 74.75% ( 0.09) |
| Gabon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.9% ( -0.07) | 18.09% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.98% ( -0.12) | 49.02% ( 0.12) |
| Congo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.68% ( -0.02) | 43.31% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.44% ( -0.02) | 79.55% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gabon | Draw | Congo |
| 1-0 @ 13.39% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.45% 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 58.09% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.7% Total : 23.74% | 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.69% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.31% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 1.73% Total : 18.14% |
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