Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ghana | 3 | 4 | 7 |
2 | Mali | 3 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
4 | Niger | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Congo DR | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 6 |
3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -1 | 2 |
4 | Togo | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Togo win with a probability of 44.1%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Niger had a probability of 26.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Togo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.04%) and 1-2 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Niger win it was 1-0 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Togo would win this match.
Result | ||
Niger | Draw | Togo |
26.89% ( -0.03) | 29.01% ( -0.04) | 44.1% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 42.26% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.23% ( 0.12) | 63.77% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.98% ( 0.08) | 83.02% ( -0.08) |
Niger Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.43% ( 0.04) | 40.57% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.83% ( 0.03) | 77.17% ( -0.03) |
Togo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.12% ( 0.1) | 28.88% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.25% ( 0.12) | 64.75% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Niger | Draw | Togo |
1-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.92% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.31% Total : 26.89% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.71% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.49% Total : 29% | 0-1 @ 14.55% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.04% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.5% Total : 44.09% |
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