SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 72.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Niger had a probability of 7.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.15%) and 3-0 (11.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.25%), while for a Niger win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burkina Faso | Draw | Niger |
72.88% ( 0.03) | 19.31% ( 0.01) | 7.81% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 31.22% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.52% ( -0.16) | 57.48% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.72% ( -0.13) | 78.28% ( 0.12) |
| Burkina Faso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.42% ( -0.04) | 14.57% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.35% ( -0.07) | 42.64% ( 0.07) |
| Niger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 36.54% ( -0.21) | 63.46% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.68% ( -0.1) | 92.32% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burkina Faso | Draw | Niger |
| 1-0 @ 17.81% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 17.15% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 5.3% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.04% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 72.88% | 0-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.05) 1-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.31% | 0-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.8% Total : 7.81% |
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