SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ghana | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Benin | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 58.98%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Benin had a probability of 16.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Benin win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nigeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nigeria | Draw | Benin |
58.98% ( 0.11) | 24.52% ( -0.27) | 16.5% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 41.52% ( 0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.84% ( 1.11) | 58.16% ( -1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.19% ( 0.86) | 78.81% ( -0.86) |
| Nigeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.36% ( 0.48) | 19.64% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.4% ( 0.77) | 51.6% ( -0.77) |
| Benin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.67% ( 0.88) | 48.33% ( -0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.53% ( 0.63) | 83.47% ( -0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nigeria | Draw | Benin |
| 1-0 @ 15.45% ( -0.42) 2-0 @ 12.57% ( -0.15)2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.53% Total : 58.98% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.4)2-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.47% Total : 24.52% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.02% Total : 16.5% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
