Friendlies 1

Mar 22, 2024 at 4pm UK

Teslim Balogun Stadium

Nigeria
2 - 1
Ghana

Dessers (38' pen.), Lookman (84')
Onyemaechi (20'), Collins (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ayew (90+5' pen.)
Abdul Samed (37'), Lamptey (90+6')
Opoku (56')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Nigeria and Ghana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nigeria

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Nigeria 1-2 Ivory Coast
Sunday, February 11 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Ghana

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Mozambique 2-2 Ghana
Monday, January 22 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

The spoils could be shared in Friday's derby as both sides are likely to employ caution rather than risk losing, even in a friendly. With recent changes in both dugouts it could take time for the managers to stamp their mark on their respective teams, so we're going for a draw in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 55.12%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 18.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nigeria would win this match.

Result
Nigeria	Draw	Ghana
55.12% ( -0.01)	26.01% ( 0.03)	18.87% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 41.67% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.81% (

-0.1)

60.19% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.62% (

-0.08)

80.38% (

0.08)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78% (

-0.04)

22% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.68% (

-0.07)

55.31% (

0.07)

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.42% (

-0.08)

46.58% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.83% (

-0.06)

82.16% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Nigeria 55.11%

Ghana 18.87%

Draw 25.99%

Nigeria	Draw	Ghana
1-0 @ 15.51% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.74% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.93% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 55.11%	1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.47% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 18.87%