Nigeria have not only had an extra day to recover before Wednesday's fixture with South Africa in Bouake, they have also navigated the knockout rounds without needing extra time or penalties to advance, giving Peseiro's side the slight physical edge needed in the semis to advance to the competition's decider. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 64.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 12.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.04%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (5.69%).

Result
Nigeria	Draw	South Africa
64.83%	22.29%	12.89%

Both teams to score 39.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.71%

56.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.67%

77.33%

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.18%

16.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.19%

46.81%

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.46%

52.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.65%

86.35%

Score Analysis

Nigeria 64.82%

South Africa 12.89%

Draw 22.29%

Nigeria	Draw	South Africa
1-0 @ 15.75% 2-0 @ 14.04% 2-1 @ 9.04% 3-0 @ 8.34% 3-1 @ 5.37% 4-0 @ 3.72% 4-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 1.73% 5-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.12% Total : 64.82%	1-1 @ 10.14% 0-0 @ 8.84% 2-2 @ 2.91% Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.29%	0-1 @ 5.69% 1-2 @ 3.26% 0-2 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.11% Total : 12.89%