SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for South Sudan had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest South Sudan win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Congo in this match.
| Result | ||
| South Sudan | Draw | Congo |
30.17% ( -0.56) | 28.15% ( 0.09) | 41.68% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 46.17% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.28% ( -0.47) | 59.72% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.97% ( -0.36) | 80.03% ( 0.36) |
| South Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.34% ( -0.67) | 35.66% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.56% ( -0.7) | 72.43% ( 0.7) |
| Congo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.76% ( 0.04) | 28.24% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.05% ( 0.04) | 63.95% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Sudan | Draw | Congo |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.02% Total : 30.16% | 1-1 @ 13.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.15% | 0-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.72% Total : 41.67% |
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