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Africa Cup of Nations | Quarter-Finals
Feb 2, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade de l'Amitie
AN

Nigeria
1 - 0
Angola

Lookman (41')
Bassey (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gaspar (71'), Mabululu (71'), Gelson (74')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Nigeria 2-0 Cameroon
Saturday, January 27 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Angola 3-0 Namibia
Saturday, January 27 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

We said: Nigeria 2-1 Angola

Friday should pose the sternest test to Nigeria's watertight backline, with Angola capable of hurting the West African nation in different ways. Peseiro's men are expected to concede, but they should have enough at the other end to defeat the exciting Palancas Negras. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 59.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Angola had a probability of 15.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.2%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for an Angola win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nigeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nigeria.

Result
NigeriaDrawAngola
59.82%24.73%15.45%
Both teams to score 39.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.72%60.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.55%80.45%
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.85%20.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.58%52.42%
Angola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.94%51.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.62%85.37%
Score Analysis
    Nigeria 59.81%
    Angola 15.45%
    Draw 24.72%
NigeriaDrawAngola
1-0 @ 16.47%
2-0 @ 13.2%
2-1 @ 8.88%
3-0 @ 7.05%
3-1 @ 4.74%
4-0 @ 2.82%
4-1 @ 1.9%
3-2 @ 1.59%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 59.81%
1-1 @ 11.07%
0-0 @ 10.28%
2-2 @ 2.98%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 6.91%
1-2 @ 3.72%
0-2 @ 2.32%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 15.45%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nigeria 2-0 Cameroon
Saturday, January 27 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 0-1 Nigeria
Monday, January 22 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Ivory Coast 0-1 Nigeria
Thursday, January 18 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Nigeria 1-1 Eq Guinea
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Guinea 2-0 Nigeria
Monday, January 8 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Zimbabwe 1-1 Nigeria
Sunday, November 19 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Angola 3-0 Namibia
Saturday, January 27 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Angola 2-0 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, January 23 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Mauritania 2-3 Angola
Saturday, January 20 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Algeria 1-1 Angola
Monday, January 15 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Bahrain 0-3 Angola
Wednesday, January 10 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Congo DR 0-0 Angola
Saturday, January 6 at 1pm in International Friendlies


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