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Africa Cup of Nations | Round of 16
Jan 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade de l'Amitie
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Nigeria
2 - 0
Cameroon

Lookman (36', 90')
Simon (87'), Aina (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wooh (53'), N'Koudou (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 0-1 Nigeria
Monday, January 22 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Gambia 2-3 Cameroon
Tuesday, January 23 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

We said: Nigeria 1-2 Cameroon

Having lost the last two encounters against Nigeria at AFCONs 2004 and 2019, Cameroon's momentum from defeating Gambia should stand the Lions in good stead in Saturday's encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 61.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Cameroon had a probability of 15.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.77%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Cameroon win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nigeria would win this match.

Result
NigeriaDrawCameroon
61.46% (1.176 1.18) 23.17% (-0.471 -0.47) 15.36% (-0.708 -0.71)
Both teams to score 42.76% (-0.181 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.82% (0.582 0.58)55.18% (-0.584 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.58% (0.476 0.48)76.41% (-0.479 -0.48)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.4% (0.63500000000001 0.64)17.6% (-0.639 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.82% (1.093 1.09)48.17% (-1.097 -1.1)
Cameroon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.89% (-0.627 -0.63)48.1% (0.624 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.69% (-0.463 -0.46)83.3% (0.459 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Nigeria 61.45%
    Cameroon 15.36%
    Draw 23.17%
NigeriaDrawCameroon
1-0 @ 14.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 12.77% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.4% (0.287 0.29)
3-1 @ 5.41% (0.117 0.12)
4-0 @ 3.21% (0.188 0.19)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.099 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 61.45%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 8.47% (-0.193 -0.19)
2-2 @ 3.42% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 23.17%
0-1 @ 6.2% (-0.255 -0.26)
1-2 @ 3.94% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-2 @ 2.27% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-3 @ 0.96% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2%
Total : 15.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 0-1 Nigeria
Monday, January 22 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Ivory Coast 0-1 Nigeria
Thursday, January 18 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Nigeria 1-1 Eq Guinea
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Guinea 2-0 Nigeria
Monday, January 8 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Zimbabwe 1-1 Nigeria
Sunday, November 19 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Nigeria 1-1 Lesotho
Thursday, November 16 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Gambia 2-3 Cameroon
Tuesday, January 23 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Senegal 3-1 Cameroon
Friday, January 19 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Cameroon 1-1 Guinea
Monday, January 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Zambia 1-1 Cameroon
Tuesday, January 9 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Libya 1-1 Cameroon
Tuesday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Cameroon 3-0 Mauritius
Friday, November 17 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa


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