SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Algeria | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Algeria | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 51.43%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 21.22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angola would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Angola | Draw | Burkina Faso |
51.43% ( 0.2) | 27.35% ( -0.09) | 21.22% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 41.42% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.78% ( 0.16) | 62.21% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.1% ( 0.12) | 81.89% ( -0.12) |
| Angola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.5% ( 0.16) | 24.5% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.04% ( 0.23) | 58.96% ( -0.23) |
| Burkina Faso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.87% ( -0.03) | 45.13% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.96% ( -0.02) | 81.03% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Angola | Draw | Burkina Faso |
| 1-0 @ 15.55% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.17% Total : 51.42% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.46% Total : 27.34% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 0.85% Total : 21.22% |
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