SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Nigeria | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Nigeria | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 62.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Nigeria had a probability of 16.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Nigeria win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Nigeria |
62.22% ( -0.7) | 21.7% ( 0.28) | 16.08% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 48.49% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.71% ( -0.41) | 48.29% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.57% ( -0.37) | 70.43% ( 0.37) |
| Ivory Coast Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.04% ( -0.36) | 14.96% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.62% ( -0.68) | 43.38% ( 0.68) |
| Nigeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.02% ( 0.31) | 42.98% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.72% ( 0.26) | 79.28% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Nigeria |
| 1-0 @ 12.21% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 11.6% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.31% Total : 62.21% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.82% Total : 21.69% | 0-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.61% Total : 16.08% |
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