SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nigeria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 73.93%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 9.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.84%) and 0-3 (10.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 1-0 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zimbabwe | Draw | Nigeria |
9.29% ( -0.25) | 16.78% ( -0.21) | 73.93% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 44% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.82% ( 0.18) | 43.18% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.42% ( 0.18) | 65.58% ( -0.18) |
| Zimbabwe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.96% ( -0.4) | 51.04% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.63% ( -0.27) | 85.37% ( 0.27) |
| Nigeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.86% ( 0.16) | 10.14% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.66% ( 0.38) | 33.34% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zimbabwe | Draw | Nigeria |
| 1-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.96% Total : 9.29% | 1-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.58% Total : 16.78% | 0-2 @ 13.55% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 10.34% ( 0.14)1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 6.96% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 5.92% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 3.98% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 2.71% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.82% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0)0-6 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.98% Total : 73.92% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
