SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Namibia | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | South Africa | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Namibia | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | South Africa | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 55.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Namibia had a probability of 18.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Namibia win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| South Africa | Draw | Namibia |
55.57% ( 0.24) | 26.41% ( -0.02) | 18.02% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 39.49% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.65% ( -0.2) | 62.35% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18% ( -0.15) | 81.99% ( 0.15) |
| South Africa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.27% ( 0.02) | 22.72% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.6% ( 0.03) | 56.39% ( -0.03) |
| Namibia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.1% ( -0.41) | 48.89% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.12% ( -0.29) | 83.88% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Africa | Draw | Namibia |
| 1-0 @ 16.46% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 12.19% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.48% Total : 55.56% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.39% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.01% Total : 18.02% |
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