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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2023 at 1pm UK
Nuevo Estadio de Malabo
NN

Eq Guinea
1 - 0
Namibia

Nsue (67')
Salvador (37'), Miranda (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Muzeu (30'), Iimbondi (31'), Kamberipa (44')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Eq Guinea 0-0 Burkina Faso
Friday, October 13 at 3pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: South Africa 0-0 Namibia
Saturday, September 9 at 2pm in International Friendlies

We said: Equatorial Guinea 2-0 Namibia

Equatorial Guinea's home form makes them huge favourites to come away with all three points, and we can see the hosts living up to expectations by claiming a relatively routine win in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 39.83%. A draw had a probability of 33.4% and a win for Namibia had a probability of 26.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.57%) and 2-1 (6.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.86%), while for a Namibia win it was 0-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Equatorial Guinea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Equatorial Guinea.

Result
Equatorial GuineaDrawNamibia
39.83% (1.428 1.43) 33.43% (0.257 0.26) 26.74% (-1.691 -1.69)
Both teams to score 32.74% (-1.092 -1.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
24.87% (-0.921 -0.92)75.13% (0.917 0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
9.66% (-0.535 -0.54)90.34% (0.532 0.53)
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.44% (0.384 0.38)37.55% (-0.389 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.66% (0.375 0.38)74.33% (-0.38 -0.38)
Namibia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.44% (-2.086 -2.09)47.56% (2.081 2.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.09% (-1.598 -1.6)82.91% (1.592 1.59)
Score Analysis
    Equatorial Guinea 39.83%
    Namibia 26.73%
    Draw 33.43%
Equatorial GuineaDrawNamibia
1-0 @ 17.49% (0.77 0.77)
2-0 @ 8.57% (0.463 0.46)
2-1 @ 6.37% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.8% (0.178 0.18)
3-1 @ 2.08% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 39.83%
0-0 @ 17.86% (0.61 0.61)
1-1 @ 13% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 2.37% (-0.15 -0.15)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 33.43%
0-1 @ 13.27% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-2 @ 4.93% (-0.424 -0.42)
1-2 @ 4.83% (-0.361 -0.36)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.185 -0.19)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.166 -0.17)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 26.73%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Eq Guinea 0-0 Burkina Faso
Friday, October 13 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Libya 1-1 Eq Guinea
Wednesday, September 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-0 Tunisia
Saturday, June 17 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Botswana 2-3 Eq Guinea
Tuesday, March 28 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-0 Botswana
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-2 Togo
Tuesday, September 27 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: South Africa 0-0 Namibia
Saturday, September 9 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Namibia 0-0 Botswana
Tuesday, July 11 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Namibia 1-2 Eswatini
Saturday, July 8 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: South Africa 1-1 Namibia
Wednesday, July 5 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Burundi 3-2 Namibia
Tuesday, June 20 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Namibia 2-1 Cameroon
Tuesday, March 28 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying


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