SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Tunisia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Mali | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | South Africa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Namibia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Namibia win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 12.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Namibia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.87%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Namibia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sao Tome & Principe | Draw | Namibia |
12.04% ( 0.74) | 20.64% ( 0.67) | 67.32% ( -1.41) |
| Both teams to score 41.58% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.01% ( -0.9) | 51.99% ( 0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.27% ( -0.78) | 73.73% ( 0.78) |
| Sao Tome & Principe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.67% ( 0.76) | 51.33% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 14.43% ( 0.5) | 85.57% ( -0.5) |
| Namibia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.45% ( -0.72) | 14.56% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.39% ( -1.41) | 42.61% ( 1.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sao Tome & Principe | Draw | Namibia |
| 1-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.2% Total : 12.04% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.48% Total : 20.64% | 0-1 @ 14.4% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 13.87% ( -0.22)1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 8.91% ( -0.38)1-3 @ 5.94% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 4.3% ( -0.3)1-4 @ 2.86% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.66% ( -0.16)1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.08% Total : 67.32% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 36 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 30 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 29 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 24 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 22 |
| 9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Brentford | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 19 |
| 12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 18 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 16 |
| 14 | Fulham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
| 16 | Bournemouth | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 13 |
| 17 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 9 |
| 18 | Everton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 | Burnley | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 7 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 5 |
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