SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nigeria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Tunisia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Mali | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | South Africa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Namibia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 62.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 14.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.13%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Ivory Coast | Draw | South Africa |
62.87% ( -0.44) | 22.67% ( 0.49) | 14.46% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 42.17% ( -1.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.15% ( -1.87) | 54.85% ( 1.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.85% ( -1.57) | 76.15% ( 1.57) |
| Ivory Coast Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.01% ( -0.8) | 16.99% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.89% ( -1.44) | 47.1% ( 1.44) |
| South Africa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.8% ( -1.2) | 49.2% ( 1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.9% ( -0.87) | 84.1% ( 0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ivory Coast | Draw | South Africa |
| 1-0 @ 14.81% ( 0.67) 2-0 @ 13.13% ( 0.25)2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.24)4-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.15)5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.29% Total : 62.86% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.59)2-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.66% | 0-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 14.46% |
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