Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AIK Fotboll would win this match.
