Malmo
3 - 2
Varbergs

Birmancevic (12'), Nielsen (61'), Rieks (79')
Nalic (49'), Inge Berget (80')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Stanisic (26'), Adjei (81')
Simovic (34'), Le Roux (52'), Mensah (56'), Winbo (86')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Malmo and Varbergs BoIS.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 67.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 13.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
Malmo	Draw	Varbergs BoIS
67.75%	18.44%	13.81%

Both teams to score 53.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.61%

38.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.32%

60.68%

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.61%

10.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.07%

33.93%

Varbergs BoIS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.03%

39.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.38%

76.62%

Score Analysis

Malmo 67.75%

Varbergs BoIS 13.81%

Draw 18.44%

Malmo	Draw	Varbergs BoIS
2-0 @ 10.64% 2-1 @ 9.77% 1-0 @ 9.41% 3-0 @ 8.04% 3-1 @ 7.37% 4-0 @ 4.55% 4-1 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 3.38% 5-0 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 1.91% 5-1 @ 1.89% Other @ 4.57% Total : 67.75%	1-1 @ 8.63% 2-2 @ 4.48% 0-0 @ 4.16% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.44%	1-2 @ 3.96% 0-1 @ 3.81% 0-2 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.37% 1-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.72% Total : 13.81%