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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 4
May 2, 2021 at 2pm UK
Jamtkraft Arena

Ostersunds
1 - 2
Varbergs

Mukiibi (9')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Moon (27'), Stanisic (90+1')
Moon (32'), Ssewankambo (33')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Ostersunds FK and Varbergs BoIS.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varbergs BoIS win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Ostersunds FK had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Varbergs BoIS win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Ostersunds FK win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Varbergs BoIS would win this match.

Result
Ostersunds FKDrawVarbergs BoIS
35.65%26.16%38.18%
Both teams to score 53.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.07%50.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.2%72.8%
Ostersunds FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.5%27.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37%62.99%
Varbergs BoIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.96%26.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.92%61.07%
Score Analysis
    Ostersunds FK 35.65%
    Varbergs BoIS 38.18%
    Draw 26.16%
Ostersunds FKDrawVarbergs BoIS
1-0 @ 9.24%
2-1 @ 8.03%
2-0 @ 5.97%
3-1 @ 3.46%
3-0 @ 2.57%
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 35.65%
1-1 @ 12.43%
0-0 @ 7.16%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 9.63%
1-2 @ 8.37%
0-2 @ 6.48%
1-3 @ 3.75%
0-3 @ 2.91%
2-3 @ 2.42%
1-4 @ 1.26%
0-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 38.18%

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