SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Hacken | 9 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Djurgardens IF | 11 | 12 | 18 |
| 4 | Malmo | 11 | 2 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Djurgardens IF | 11 | 12 | 18 |
| 4 | Malmo | 11 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | Hammarby | 9 | 10 | 17 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Djurgardens IF | Draw | Malmo |
41.85% ( 6) | 24.83% ( -0.8) | 33.32% ( -5.19) |
| Both teams to score 57.71% ( 2.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.55% ( 3.14) | 45.45% ( -3.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.22% ( 2.93) | 67.78% ( -2.93) |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.27% ( 4.54) | 21.72% ( -4.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.11% ( 6.49) | 54.89% ( -6.49) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.72% ( -1.49) | 26.28% ( 1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.61% ( -2.03) | 61.39% ( 2.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Djurgardens IF | Draw | Malmo |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.78) 1-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.84)3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.91)3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.79)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.5)4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.52)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.43)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.31)Other @ 2.48% Total : 41.85% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.5) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.28)0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.8)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.82% | 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.68) 0-1 @ 7.63% ( -1.45)0-2 @ 5.1% ( -1.24)1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.47)2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.67)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.21)Other @ 3.26% Total : 33.32% |
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