SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Sirius | 10 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Varnamo | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Varbergs BoIS | 10 | -8 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Malmo | 11 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | Hammarby | 9 | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | Kalmar | 10 | 4 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 1-0 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Varnamo | Draw | Hammarby |
28.11% ( 0.79) | 24.73% ( 0.32) | 47.17% ( -1.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.35% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.67% ( -0.85) | 47.33% ( 0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.45% ( -0.79) | 69.55% ( 0.79) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.3% ( 0.16) | 30.7% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.05% ( 0.18) | 66.95% ( -0.18) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.87% ( -0.8) | 20.13% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.61% ( -1.3) | 52.39% ( 1.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varnamo | Draw | Hammarby |
| 1-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.08)Other @ 3% Total : 28.11% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 5.01% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.84% Total : 47.17% |
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