SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Malmo | 11 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | Kalmar | 10 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | Mjallby AIF | 11 | 1 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Sirius | 10 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Varnamo | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Varbergs BoIS | 10 | -8 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 26.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Varnamo win it was 0-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kalmar in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kalmar | Draw | Varnamo |
46.47% ( 0.24) | 26.79% ( 0.23) | 26.74% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 48.04% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.61% ( -1.1) | 56.38% ( 1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.6% ( -0.9) | 77.4% ( 0.89) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.76% ( -0.37) | 24.24% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.4% ( -0.52) | 58.6% ( 0.52) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.41% ( -0.98) | 36.59% ( 0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.62% ( -1) | 73.38% ( 1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kalmar | Draw | Varnamo |
| 1-0 @ 12.56% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.49% Total : 46.46% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.84% Total : 26.74% |
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