Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for Degerfors had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.45%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Degerfors win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
