Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for Degerfors had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Degerfors win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.
