Rijeka
1 - 1
Elfsborg

(Elfsborg win 3-1 on aggregate)

Galesic (45+2')
Pasalic (40'), Rukavina (80')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Abdulai (24')
Abdulai (8'), Baldursson (31'), Holmen (36'), Yegbe (50')
Abdulai (56')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa League Third Qualifying Round clash between HNK Rijeka and Elfsborg.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
HNK Rijeka	Draw	Elfsborg
43.82%	24.26%	31.92%

Both teams to score 59.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.68%

43.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.29%

65.71%

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.06%

19.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.92%

52.08%

Elfsborg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.89%

26.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.83%

61.16%

Score Analysis

HNK Rijeka 43.82%

Elfsborg 31.92%

Draw 24.26%

HNK Rijeka	Draw	Elfsborg
2-1 @ 9.09% 1-0 @ 8.39% 2-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 4.89% 3-0 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 3.28% 4-1 @ 1.97% 4-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3% Total : 43.82%	1-1 @ 11.27% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.26%	1-2 @ 7.57% 0-1 @ 6.99% 0-2 @ 4.69% 1-3 @ 3.39% 2-3 @ 2.73% 0-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.14% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.39% Total : 31.92%