Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 73.99%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Falkenbergs had a probability of 9.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.71%) and 0-3 (10.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for a Falkenbergs win it was 1-0 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.