SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for AIK Fotboll had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest AIK Fotboll win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AIK Fotboll | Draw | Malmo |
31.6% ( -0.22) | 23.57% ( 0) | 44.83% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 61.51% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.83% ( -0.09) | 40.17% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.46% ( -0.1) | 62.54% ( 0.1) |
| AIK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.23% ( -0.18) | 24.77% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.66% ( -0.25) | 59.34% ( 0.25) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.77% ( 0.05) | 18.23% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.74% ( 0.09) | 49.26% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| AIK Fotboll | Draw | Malmo |
| 2-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 31.6% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 5.18% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0)Other @ 3.65% Total : 44.83% |
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