SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Djurgardens IF | Draw | Lech Poznan |
43.77% ( 0.14) | 24.86% ( -0.04) | 31.37% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 56.85% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.76% ( 0.12) | 46.24% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.47% ( 0.11) | 68.53% ( -0.11) |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.83% ( 0.11) | 21.17% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.96% ( 0.17) | 54.04% ( -0.17) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.12% ( -0) | 27.88% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.51% ( -0.01) | 63.49% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Djurgardens IF | Draw | Lech Poznan |
| 1-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 43.77% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 31.37% |
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