Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Hacken had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Hacken win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Malmo in this match.
