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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 30
Dec 6, 2020 at 1.30pm UK
Swedbank Stadion, Malm

Malmo
4 - 0
Ostersunds

Christiansen (7', 29' pen.), Kiese Thelin (8'), Larsson (34')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Keita (5'), Mukiibi (29'), Bellman (32'), Mensah (52')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Malmo and Ostersunds FK.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 71.95%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Ostersunds FK had a probability of 11.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 3-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.56%), while for a Ostersunds FK win it was 1-2 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawOstersunds FK
71.95%16.41%11.64%
Both teams to score 54.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.9%34.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.02%55.98%
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.7%8.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.04%28.96%
Ostersunds FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.53%40.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.92%77.08%
Score Analysis
    Malmo 71.95%
    Ostersunds FK 11.64%
    Draw 16.41%
MalmoDrawOstersunds FK
2-0 @ 10.4%
2-1 @ 9.41%
3-0 @ 8.63%
1-0 @ 8.36%
3-1 @ 7.81%
4-0 @ 5.37%
4-1 @ 4.86%
3-2 @ 3.53%
5-0 @ 2.68%
5-1 @ 2.42%
4-2 @ 2.2%
6-0 @ 1.11%
5-2 @ 1.1%
6-1 @ 1%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 71.95%
1-1 @ 7.56%
2-2 @ 4.26%
0-0 @ 3.36%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 16.41%
1-2 @ 3.42%
0-1 @ 3.04%
0-2 @ 1.37%
2-3 @ 1.28%
1-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 11.64%

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