Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for AIK Fotboll had a probability of 37.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest AIK Fotboll win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hammarby in this match.
