SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Malmo | 11 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | Hammarby | 9 | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | Kalmar | 10 | 4 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Mjallby AIF | 10 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | IFK Norrkoping | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| 10 | IFK Goteborg | 10 | 1 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 21.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a IFK Norrkoping win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hammarby | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
55.72% ( 1.33) | 22.67% ( -0.64) | 21.61% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 55.23% ( 1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.75% ( 1.95) | 44.25% ( -1.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.37% ( 1.87) | 66.62% ( -1.87) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.27% ( 1.15) | 15.73% ( -1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.18% ( 2.1) | 44.82% ( -2.11) |
| IFK Norrkoping Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.54% ( 0.43) | 34.46% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.82% ( 0.45) | 71.17% ( -0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hammarby | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
| 1-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.27)3-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.23)4-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.19)4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.14)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.12)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.51% Total : 55.71% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.47)2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.67% | 0-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.43) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.09% Total : 21.61% |
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