SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Kalmar | 10 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | Elfsborg | 10 | 8 | 15 |
| 8 | Mjallby AIF | 10 | 1 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | IFK Norrkoping | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| 10 | IFK Goteborg | 10 | 1 | 14 |
| 11 | Sirius | 10 | -5 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 59.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 18.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a IFK Goteborg win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elfsborg | Draw | IFK Goteborg |
59.55% ( 0.81) | 22.26% ( -0.29) | 18.19% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 50.97% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.83% ( 0.41) | 47.16% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.6% ( 0.38) | 69.4% ( -0.39) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.55% ( 0.41) | 15.45% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.69% ( 0.76) | 44.31% ( -0.77) |
| IFK Goteborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.28% ( -0.36) | 39.72% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.61% ( -0.33) | 76.39% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elfsborg | Draw | IFK Goteborg |
| 1-0 @ 11.46% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.31% Total : 59.55% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.25% | 0-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.11% Total : 18.19% |
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