Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 51%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Sirius win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.