SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | IFK Goteborg | 10 | 1 | 14 |
| 11 | Sirius | 10 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Varnamo | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Kalmar | 10 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | Elfsborg | 10 | 8 | 15 |
| 8 | Mjallby AIF | 10 | 1 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 51%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Sirius win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sirius | Draw | Elfsborg |
26.14% ( 0.78) | 22.86% ( 0.43) | 51% ( -1.21) |
| Both teams to score 60.04% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.61% ( -1.31) | 40.38% ( 1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.24% ( -1.37) | 62.76% ( 1.36) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.46% ( -0.11) | 28.54% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.67% ( -0.13) | 64.32% ( 0.13) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.02% ( -0.89) | 15.98% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.71% ( -1.66) | 45.28% ( 1.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sirius | Draw | Elfsborg |
| 2-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.32)2-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.5% Total : 26.14% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.27)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.85% | 1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 7.67% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.88% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 4.69% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 2.7% ( -0.18)0-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.12)1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.58% Total : 51% |
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