Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 59.39%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Granada had a probability of 17.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.