Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
IFK Norrkoping | Draw | AIK Fotboll |
30.52% ( 0.31) | 25.94% ( -0.05) | 43.54% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 52.9% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.8% ( 0.33) | 51.2% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.96% ( 0.29) | 73.04% ( -0.29) |
IFK Norrkoping Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.05% ( 0.39) | 30.95% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.75% ( 0.45) | 67.25% ( -0.46) |
AIK Fotboll Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.61% ( 0.02) | 23.39% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.63% ( 0.02) | 57.37% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
IFK Norrkoping | Draw | AIK Fotboll |
1-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.99% Total : 30.52% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 43.54% |
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