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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 59.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 16.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.03%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 1-0 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AIK Fotboll would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Varbergs BoIS | Draw | AIK Fotboll |
16.76% ( 0) | 23.34% ( 0.16) | 59.9% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 45.06% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.35% ( -0.58) | 53.65% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.85% ( -0.49) | 75.14% ( 0.49) |
| Varbergs BoIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.69% ( -0.35) | 45.31% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.82% ( -0.27) | 81.18% ( 0.28) |
| AIK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.39% ( -0.27) | 17.6% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.81% ( -0.46) | 48.18% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varbergs BoIS | Draw | AIK Fotboll |
| 1-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.46% Total : 16.76% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.63% Total : 23.34% | 0-1 @ 13.85% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 12.03% ( 0.07)1-2 @ 9.53% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 6.97% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.52% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 3.03% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.4% Total : 59.89% |
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