Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 1-0 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.